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about California Droughts.. (Read 863 times)
Flyjunkie
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about California Droughts..
Feb 6th, 2014, 8:32am
 
thought I remain of the mindset we'll get a late winter, and we get a "Miracle March" that dumps a good deal of snow on the Sierra in a mere 4 weeks, that will save us from worse conditions this year then last year. One must remain aware of the history of Droughts here in California..  
 
This is an Eye opener indeed.... undecided
 
http://www.nytimes.com/1994/07/19/science/severe-ancient-droughts-a-warning-to-c alifornia.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm
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« Last Edit: Feb 6th, 2014, 10:39am by Flyjunkie »  

"..Buy the Ticket, Take the Ride.." ~~ Hunter S. Thompson
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petundra
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Re: about California Droughts..
Reply #1 - Feb 6th, 2014, 2:29pm
 
Stats for mammoth area
 
PS:  Here are some tabulations from my good friend Bob Sollima who is a hobbyist hydrographier here for Mammoth Pass. I really appreciate him sending me records from time to time.  As you can see from his data,  we are doing than some of the driest years already. The precip that is coming this weekend will help as well.
 
Feb. survey: 2014 = 8.5 in. H2O (currently at 22% of full winter precip ave.)
 
1977 = 4.3 in. H2O ….end of winter result = 20.5% of average
 
1991 = 4.7 in. H2O ….end of winter result = 67.4% of average
 
1987 = 7.3 in. H2O ….end of winter result = 51.0% of average
 
2012 = 8.7 in. H2O ….end of winter result = 48.3% of average
 
2007 = 8.8 in. H2O ….end of winter result = 41.9% of average
 
1976 =10.1in. H2O ….end of winter result = 44.8% of average
 
1948 =10.2in. H2O ….end of winter result = 60.2% of average
 
1994 =10.3in. H2O ….end of winter result = 57.2% of average
- See more at: http://mammothweather.com/#sthash.DFWfHgvH.dpuf
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acorad
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Re: about California Droughts..
Reply #2 - Feb 6th, 2014, 3:21pm
 
Quote from petundra on Feb 6th, 2014, 2:29pm:
Stats for mammoth area

PS:  Here are some tabulations from my good friend Bob Sollima who is a hobbyist hydrographier here for Mammoth Pass. I really appreciate him sending me records from time to time.  As you can see from his data,  we are doing than some of the driest years already. The precip that is coming this weekend will help as well.

Feb. survey: 2014 = 8.5 in. H2O (currently at 22% of full winter precip ave.) (8.5/.22 = 38.64" average H2O)

1977 = 4.3 in. H2O ….end of winter result = 20.5% of average (21.0 ave)

1991 = 4.7 in. H2O ….end of winter result = 67.4% of average (7.0 ave)

1987 = 7.3 in. H2O ….end of winter result = 51.0% of average (14.3 ave)

2012 = 8.7 in. H2O ….end of winter result = 48.3% of average (18.0 ave)

2007 = 8.8 in. H2O ….end of winter result = 41.9% of average (21.0 ave)

1976 =10.1in. H2O ….end of winter result = 44.8% of average (22.5 ave)

1948 =10.2in. H2O ….end of winter result = 60.2% of average (16.9 ave)

1994 =10.3in. H2O ….end of winter result = 57.2% of average (18.0 ave)
- See more at: http://mammothweather.com/#sthash.DFWfHgvH.dpuf

 
I calculated the ave inches of H2O above. Kinda confusing data, does the average in. H2O vary that much year to year (7" to 38"+)?
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« Last Edit: Feb 6th, 2014, 3:31pm by acorad »  
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petundra
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Re: about California Droughts..
Reply #3 - Feb 7th, 2014, 9:28am
 
Keep your fingers crossed  Smiley
 
Here is some great news!!!
 
Scripp’s Institute just came out on February 3rd, 2014,  with their ENSO outlook for the next winter, ( The winter of 14-15). They are forecasting a major EL Nino. This is usually associated with big time snows for the Eastern Sierra, Tahoe South.
 
SEE: http://meteora.ucsd.edu/~pierce/elnino/fcst_gifs/fcst_made_2014-02_for_2014-12.j pg
- See more at: http://mammothweather.com/#sthash.diHON3lw.dpuf
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Tightlines59
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Re: about California Droughts..
Reply #4 - Feb 7th, 2014, 7:38pm
 
Good news indeed. After this weeks soak we may have a brighter future than we had thought for this winter. As to the El Nino, is there a dance we could do to increase our chances of receiving this blessing? I'm willing to learn and I would venture that Guy and his staff would as well...
 
Walt
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Wild fish possess a certain icy composure and austere dignity, confident in their release back to the depths of the lair from which they rose. S. J. Perelman (1958)
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Loy
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Re: about California Droughts..
Reply #5 - Feb 12th, 2014, 12:25pm
 
ohhh... I thought he was talking about beer... lol
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Loy
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